Showing posts with label trading. Show all posts
Showing posts with label trading. Show all posts

Tuesday, February 12, 2008

I Want it All, and I Want it Now!



We know them as the men who collect Ecosse Titanium Series Motorcycles, Bugatti Veyrons, Ferraris and Aston Martins. Men who spend over $500 million on their art collections, and $12 million on tiger sharks encased in formaldehyde. Men with temperature-controlled wine cellars containing chronological libraries of Romanee-Contis and Chateau-Lafites – many well past their drinkable stages. Men who shop for trinkets for their wives and mistresses at Harry Winston and Cartier, and buy Richard James suits and Charvet shirts for no reason other than they can.

The men described above are covetous. They exude a sense of entitlement. They expect to be granted access to the best of the best the world has to offer – and they hold out altogether until those demands are fulfilled. Many of these men, as you might have already guessed, are hedge funders. Creators of their own fate, their sense of entitlement is earned, not given. These men “eat what they kill” so to speak, and they work tirelessly to ensure that doors swing open for them. They strive for excellence, deliver it, and expect it in return. “Work hard, play hard” was coined to describe men like these. With Veruca Salt-like determination, they want it all, and they want it now, and they simply will not take “no” for an answer.

Understanding the mentality of a (successful) hedge funder in his natural habitat (as above) is a critical component to building a business that exists to serve the needs of a hedge fund.

Make no mistake - despite the tongue-in-cheek Veruca Salt comparison, we are not faulting these men for insisting upon the best of everything. In fact, if they did not have a 'want it all, and deserve it' mentality, they would not be as successful as they are. We do submit, however, that many people have a misconception about this rare breed of personality, and how to effectively work with and appeal to their attitude and behavior.


Demand Drives the Market. No, Demands Drive the Market

Yesterday, Cheyenne Morgan of Advanced Trading wrote a story entitled “Customize My Dark Pool.” (click here to read the full story.) We bring up the mentality of a hedge funder today because after we read this story, we realized that many companies and people marketing to hedge funds may not truly grasp their audience, or simply don’t have the capacity or business model to be able to comply with a hedge fund’s needs and demands (while still remaining compliant with regulators).

The story points out several key ‘buzz words’ that properly describe what hedge funds look for in just about anything that they bother with (no different than how they operate in their personal lives): “Premier.” “Exclusive.” “Unique.” These qualities are of utmost importance to the hedge fund audience. However, first, a business needs to assess whether or not their model can support this limited type of access that hedge funds look for to begin with.

In the case of dark pools (as discussed in the AT article), the jury is still out. While of course it makes sense that hedge funds would much rather pump their trades through a ‘black box’ of trade matching rather than have the whole world try to ride their coattails by having their trade patterns revealed at a larger broker, there is also reason for skepticism when it comes to the allegiances of these ‘dark pool’ offerings.

It sort of reminds us of that girl or guy you might have dated in college, who, you knew had cheated on every person he/she had ever dated, but promised they would NEVER cheat on you – putting trust into a ‘dark pool’ and buying their shtick that ‘you’re their #1 customer’ as they go sing that song to twenty other firms can (and should be) a bit disconcerting. Many seem to be offering ‘security’ out of one side of their mouths and ‘open access’ from the other. Either they don’t know their capacity/capabilities, or they don’t know yet which one sells. If there are clear lines to be drawn that will help hedge funds clearly understand the draw for one dark pool offering over another, the marketing efforts are in need of some bolstering.

StreetBrains had the hedge fund mentality in mind when we developed our model, so we are able to rest easy. We provide limited distribution research and expert access, solely to qualified institutional investors. It doesn’t get any simpler than that, and it’s exactly what hedge funds covet. Unique…limited…premier. Check. Give them what others can’t have. That’s the key.

At the end of the day, whether it’s undrinkable wine, inedible food, ugly paintings or broken statues - value is in the eye of the beholder. (After all, wealth as we know it might cease to exist entirely if the affluent stopped buying $6k Neorest toilets and $15 Renova toilet paper based solely on the fact that other people can’t afford it….)

Monday, January 14, 2008

The ‘Race to Zero’ Zooms On

The fact that commissions are drying up, and that brokers are competing over a half or a quarter of a penny at this point to win execution dollars, is nothing new. However, the Race to Zero will kick into high gear in 2008, as research desks get slashed at large firms (which used to be an ‘add on’ that justified higher execution pricing), and the surge in unbundling execution from research sends clients searching for best execution providers.

Brief History

With the onset of the tech era, commissions started facing their first hurdles in the 90’s. New execution providers flooded the market promoting faster and cheaper execution than ever before. Existing brokerage firms were able to implement similar technologies that also touted volume scalability that kept them in the game. As technology improves commissions become increasingly more commoditized, and thus coined was the ‘Race to Zero.

Current State of the Union

Large brokerage firms now look primarily to volume, not pricing as the key to feeding the execution beast. However, as most large brokerages look to slash their workforce, the research departments – long considered a ‘cost center’ and often referred to as the ‘red-headed stepchild' of the brokerage world – will certainly take a hit. With less research being written internally to justify higher execution pricing, unbundling research will almost evolve organically from the current issues in the market.

Mid and small executing brokers who provide research – despite their hopeful musings that the sky is not in fact falling - are facing some trouble. Many seem to have hung their hat on the idea that hedge funds want to continue to use an over-abundance of executing brokers, so that competitors won’t be able to follow their trading patterns. Based on our talks with market insiders, this notion seems rather unreasonable. We’re not suggesting that any hedge fund out there is handing his entire trade book over to one execution firm, but minimizing the number of executing brokers is not only something most have said they’re willing to do – from a cost point of view, it’s a priority.

Mid and small guys who recognize the threat on the horizon still have the opportunity to choose a business, any business – either research OR execution – not both – and have a chance at survival.

Tuesday, November 27, 2007

November 27th, 2007: Happy New Year!!

Remember when you were in college, and you would set your clock ahead by 45 minutes to ‘trick’ yourself into getting up in time for class?

Today, we’re encouraging all investors to ‘trick’ themselves - think like today is the start of 2008. Pop some corks, throw some confetti - and reevaluate the information you base you’re trading decisions on – get yourself back on track to succeed.

As we embark on this New Year, keep in mind that there’s one simple investing mantra that separates the savvy from the inept:

Buy on Call, Sell on News.

Many investors seem unable to avoid the plight of piling onto a sinking ship. Not to overuse our boating metaphors, but, once a ‘call’ is in the news – it’s safe to say that ship has sailed.

Particularly in a world where investing ideas are sanitized and Cramer-ized – trading decisions are often hinged more on what has happened than what will happen. While that strategy might sometimes work in a bull market, the bears will eat you alive.

Unfortunately, many investors don’t have the discipline to resist the allure of a company that’s being hyped in the news. Particularly in today’s world where access to company information is so abundant, many investors mistake awareness [of a company’s present] for insight [about a company’s future] and as a result of the poor investment decisions that ensue, they are left with miniscule returns – or worse – losses.

This week, StreetBrains is hosting an event to help reset the focus for investors. Our ‘Ask the Analysts: 2008 Outlook’ panel will address some of the big calls our analysts are making for 2008 to help investors get out in front of the ball. The analysts will discuss what they are forecasting for their coverage sectors; what will happen to the economy; what will be different by 2009. These are the issues that seed lucrative trading ideas – not today’s Wall Street Journal headlines.

Thinking out ahead of the news – not following the news – is a tough tactic to constantly deploy when most of us find it overwhelming just to keep up with and digest the information that is current. But, discipline and great investment insights will be key to navigating the turmoil that will take place in the markets in 2008.

Here's to '08!